from Climate Alert Volume 10, No. 3 July - August 1997

Business Discovers Profit in Alternative Energy Investments

Editor's Note: Most industry representatives have till now largely sat on the sidelines as observers in climate change meetings. But world business leaders are beginning to include climate change in their long-run corporate strategies. As it has become clear that technology - green technology - is a key to mitigating climate change, entrepreneurs have become aware of the potential damage to their balance sheets from more frequent floods and droughts and alert to the profitable opportunities from fuel cells and wind turbines.

In this issue of Climate Alert, we report on ventures in several forward-looking industries: photovoltaics, wind, transportation and financial.

Natural Gas Firm Commits Capital to Wind Energy

In January '97, one of the largest natural gas suppliers in the world, the Enron Corp. of Houston, demonstrated its confidence in the future of alternative energy by buying the Zond Corp., a wind power manufacturer and developer headquartered in California. Enron is supplying a crucial ingredient - capital - to the wind industry.

"Renewable energy will capture a significant share of the world energy market over the next 20 years, and Enron intends to be a leader in this very important market," said Enron chairman and CEO Ken Lay. (Enron is the largest US-owned producer of solar photovoltaic cells and the second largest producer worldwide. See accompanying article on the photovoltaic industry on page 1.)

Zond, founded in 1981 and now known as the Enron Wind Corp., was one of the first wind farm developers in California. It has designed, engineered, constructed and operates over 2,500 wind turbine generators in California. Each year the company's wind power plants generate more than 550 gigawatt hours, enough electricity to offset nearly two million pounds of air pollutants that would otherwise have been generated by fossil-fuel plants.

Enron Wind is constructing projects in the 100 MW size for major utilities in the US Midwest. It also has overseas projects in Northern Ireland, China, Latin American and other parts of Europe and Asia.

Global wind energy capacity soared 32 percent from 1994 to '95 and is expected to add 30,000 new megawatts of capacity by 2006, according to the American Wind Energy Association. Wind power has been called the world's fastest growing energy source, increasing at an average rate of 20 percent annually, 150 percent since 1990. Conventional power has only grown at three percent or less a year.

The US is still world leader in installed capacity but others are closing the gap rapidly. European wind growth has been called "explosive." Germany and India are the largest single markets, and Germany surpassed the US in installed capacity in 1997. While China is likely to have 100 MW go on line in 1997, it is not likely to meet its goal of 1,000 MW wind capacity by the year 2000. Spain is among the top growth markets and Netherlands and Denmark have significant installed capacity. Costa Rica, Mexico and Egypt have also expressed interest in the area.

Large World Potential

The US share of the world wind energy market, which was 90 percent in 1988, has shrunk to 30 percent, because of a lack of policies to support wind power development, chaos in utility restructuring, a push for lower conventional energy prices, and the resistance of utility monopolies. (Only 10 new megawatts of wind power come on line in 1996 in the US.) However, wind power on less than one percent of the land in the 48 contiguous states could provide 20 percent of current US power needs.

Wind power cannot fully replace fossil fuels, but it has the potential to meet or exceed 20 percent of world electricity supply according to Chris Flavin of Worldwatch Institute. In fact, more countries have wind power potential than have large sources of hydropower or coal, Flavin has said.

Declining Wind Electricity Costs

per kWh

Mid-1970s

$1.00

1996

.05

2010 forecast*

.02

*DOE, EIA, World Energy Projection System (1997) (if favorable financing available)

 

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