from Climate Alert Volume 10, No. 6 December 1997

International Roster of Speakers at Climate Institute Symposium Express Optimism on Benign Energy Developments

Much can be done - even before the climate treaty approved at Kyoto is signed and ratified - to further its goals, concluded the Climate Institute Symposium on Green Energy Strategies. The Symposium was held partway through the official international meetings, on Saturday, December 6 at Otani University in Kyoto. Speakers included senior officials, parliamentarians, business leaders, and energy experts from nations including Australia, Chile, Denmark, Indonesia, Japan, the Philippines, South Africa, the UK and the US. About 180 people attended.

Workable, cost-effective, practical measures need not wait for government action, said Noel Brown of Jamaica, President of Friends of the Unnited Nations. Energy efficient and healthy homes in South Africa, private on-shore wind farms and government-sponsored off-shore farms in Denmark, solar shingles produced in the US but sold around the world, were some of the many emission-saving devices described in the symposium which could be applied immediately.

We are “at the cusp of an energy revolution,“ said Chris Flavin of Worldwatch in an overview, using a phrase which was repeated by a number of speakers to describe the potential of green energy technologies.

“We should make it easy to be good, by for instance changing the technology that consumes energy while our appliances are not in use. Our television remote control is on all the time so that we can have instant access,” said John Gummer, Secretary of State for the Environment under John Major. “A non-energy consuming solution should be found.” The global economy should work within a moral context; we should play on the world stage with the same ethic on which we act on the national stage.

Expedient strategies already in use or showing great potential that were described at the symposium include:

Danish wind turbines. Small private cooperatives in Denmark sparked the tremendous growth in wind energy which now amounts to 7 percent of the energy produced in the country. Environment and Energy Minister Svend Auken outlined plans for the next 7 - 8 years which will include spending nearly $1 billion to build 500 big windmills which together will amount to 8 percent of total energy supply in addition to the wind turbines already in operation. (If the US were to achieve even an 8 percent level, it would need 56,000 wind turbines.) The target for Denmark by 2030 is to have windmills supplying 30 percent of total energy.

Energy efficiency is popular in Denmark, and the big utilities which were originally scornful of wind power have now joined the effort and are anxious not be be left behind. The nation has discovered, says Mr. Auken, that it is not necessary to increase energy supply to achieve economic growth. Energy supply, economically competitive prices and the environment can all work together smoothly, hand in hand. In doing so, Denmark has produced energy at the lowest price in the European Union.

Energy 21, a Danish national energy policy, hopes to reduce CO2 emissions by 2030 while having renewables account for 35 percent of total energy consumption. In the same period, the policy is aimed at increasing economic wealth by 50 percent.

Denmark has the highest per capita expenditures for R&D for renewables in the world, with all of the revenues earned in operations plowed back into the industry. Auken advocates subsidizing renewables and levying taxes to increase their use - on a global scale or at the very least at the European level.

Cogeneration, which is mandatory in the country, supplies 80 percent of the heating and 50 percent of the electricity, on both a centralized and decentralized basis. The goal is to increase the contribution of renewables to total energy consumption at the rate of one percent a year.

While we are often told there is a tradeoff between the environment and jobs, Auken continued, that is not true in Denmark’s experience. Lots of new jobs have been gained in insulation and other energy services and the development of renewables. Wind turbines have become the largest item for export; 60 percent of installed wind capacity in the world is based on Danish technology.

This is not to say that there are not difficulties, said Auken, who received a Climate Institute award the following day, as the driving force behind Denmark’s Energy 21 program which seeks to limit greenhouse emissions through an aggressive expansion of wind energy and extensive reliance on combined heat and power systems. The country has found no solution to the problem of road traffic growth which continues to accelerate. It is also facing a challenge from liberalization of electricity supply in Europe; cogeneration will fall apart unless there is established a principle of complete protection for such arrangements against short term price pressures.

Rene Karottki, Secretary General of the Danish Forum for Energy and Development, expanded on the decentralization theme, stating that cogeneration started with district heating cooperatives which were also opposed by the utilities. These decentralized units were fueled by one-third waste and biogas and two-thirds natural gas. Farmers are now establishing biogas plants, setting an important example in the developing country market where decentralization is the order of the day. In the long run, he said, centralized units may be totally phased out and the industry will be on a 100 percent sustainable basis. This is particularly relevant to developing countries which could encourage development of decentralized, up to date, advanced renewable technology for the 2.5 billion people who are off grid.

Substantial investments in solar energy by the financial community. Approaching the issue of green energy from a different perspective, the large-scale provision of supporting funds rather than the smaller scale decentralized cooperatives which led Denmark’s renewable energy growth, Jeremy Leggett has been campaigning strenuously for several years to gain support for solar energy.

He sees a “seismic revolution in the way the world uses energy” and quotes a British solar task force report which in its first sentence warns, “The driving rationale for the solar century, the unmitigated enhancement of the greenhouse effect, is a threat to the heart of the British economy” as well as the rest of the world.

Leggett, who is chairman of the UK government-industry solar task force, believes solar pv could be the single most important long-term means of achieving the deep cuts in greenhouse gas emissions which are the ultimate objective of the climate convention. This solar process is an outstanding candidate for meeting the needs of the two billion people with no electricity and the many more with inadequate supplies. Its growth rate this year is 24 percent, Leggett says, and as it becomes an established technology with an established market, it will take off explosively.

There are areas in the industrialized world where solar electricity is competitive with utility prices: in Sacramento, California, and in Japan where MITI has targeted a 70,000 solar roofs program.

The scale of the marketing opportunity is huge: if 30 percent of the projected world electricity were pv by 2020, the market would be worth $3 trillion which can be compared with the $2 trillion in premiums for the present-day world insurance industry.

Leggett has been pushing for a marriage between the insurance industry and renewable energy as the industry has faced huge insured economic losses which are not only because people have moved into harm’s way.

He has two missions: formation of a consumer alliance in the North, a buyers’ club to speed adoption of solar pv projects, and an investment forum which will set up a nonprofit revolving loan fund to support pv projects. Already three banks, a hotel chain and the large European insurance company, Swiss Re, have invested in this scheme.

Public/private cooperation in the Philippines succeeded first in reducing lead concentrations, then sulfur and nitrous oxides, and now in diminishing wasteful consumption of energy and promoting geothermal. The goal is now to cut the increase in energy requirements one percent a year for the next 12 years, said Senator Heherson Alvarez and Antonio La Vina, Undersecretary of Environment and Natural Resources.

Green energy measures taken at all levels in Australia. Tom Roper, former Environment and Planning Minister of Victoria, tallied a long list of steps Australia is taking to further the cause of reducing emissions: setting of building standards such as compulsory insulation, demonstration projects, industry initiatives to meet the greenhouse challenge, procurement at the government level to develop and spread technology, ensuring utility consumers have access to green energy, encouragement and advice to consumers, appealing to accounting and finance committees to demonstrate the benefits of successful energy management.

Ingenuity at US firm. “We need to promote economic growth, address environmental issues, and advance economic choices,” said Nancy Bacon, vice president at Energy Conversion Devices of Troy, Michigan. The company is engaged in many-faceted technology responses.

1. It has strong patents and is working with commercial development partners on thin-film photovoltaics which are particularly appropriate for decentralized uses not dependent on an electric grid. Part of this technology includes solar roof shingles and a solar lighting kit (which can change lives and make money as well, Bacon said).

2. It is working on a nickel metal hydride battery which will last the life of the vehicle, and which is capable of driving a Solectria 240 miles on a single charge (an 130 mpg equivalent).

3. Electric scooters which offer an enormous market opportunity to supply low cost, speed, battery lifetime, and cheap fuel expense.

The company is trying to bring together economic prosperity and an improved life style.

South African housing. The Province of Northern Cape is a region of abject poverty, according to Pakes Dikgets, the Province’s Minister of Housing and Local Government. People live in squalor with no access to clean water, shelter, or education. They need jobs, affordable health care, roads and infrastructure development. Although resources are limited, the Province is trying to achieve an energy efficient concept.

The area offers a perfect opportunity to leapfrog over the traditional technologies and build “wholistic communities,” said Lilia Abron which will improve health, create jobs and reduce emissions. (South Africa is the largest CO2 emitter in Africa, she said.) The Province is building steel frame houses, designed by the people, using passive solar concepts. The houses are wrapped in polystyrene for insulation so no heat is needed. (Most of the time poor people in the region are cold, says Abron.) The newly built houses are ventilated to reduce levels of carbon monoxide which tends to leave the people comatose from burning low grade coal.

The houses are being built to meet government cost targets, save 50 - 70 percent on energy bills and produce net CO2 savings while requiring no heat except for cooking.

Small and medium-sized industries in Chile have united in an association to attain quality control and energy efficiency, using new technologies to combat the high cost of energy and at the same time improve their productivity and competitiveness, stated Mario Marcel, Director of CEPRI.

Phasing out fossil fuel subsidies will make the economy more efficient and reduce environmental damage, argues John Ashton, Visiting Fellow at Green College, Oxford. He acknowledged that it was difficult to calculate the amount of damage avoided.

Reduce the barriers to purchasing energy from independent producers in Japan, Kazuo Aichi, former environment secretary, urged, to encourage more production of renewables. The obstruction by utilities was a phenomenon familiar to the Danes who recounted similar reluctance during the early phases of their efforts to gain acceptance of wind energy.

A price signal is needed to encourage development of photovoltaics and wind energy, argued John Palmisano, director of environment of Enron, which has embarked on substantial investments in both sun and wind energy. A tax or some other “high and steady” signal would provide a needed rise in demand for pv’s and wind energy and give much more of a boost than further R&D, according to Palmisano. Enron is the leading producer of renewable energy in the US. The “5 labs” study by the US Energy Research Labs has predicted that power from wind could range in the 5 to 20 gigawatt range in the US by 2020, he stated. He argued for no emissions borrowing (a recommendation by the Clinton Administration in the pre-Kyoto plan because it “erodes credibility. ” He agreed with John Ashton that subsidies for fossil fuels should be phased out.

Joint implementation: what is efficient and what incentives should be used to encourage it, asked Mikihiko Watanabe of Japan.

Unknown breakthroughs will be needed or the world will not be able to solve its CO2 problem, contended Katsuo Seiki, executive director of Japan’s GISPRI. He foresees a big use of nuclear energy by 2050, with renewables running “a bit behind.”

In a summation of the symposium, John Topping, President of the Climate Institute, said benign energy development for both the North and the South is something for 1998, not 2010. The South will not be helped by an extension of the present system. We need to harness public policy to make things happen, build a base of public support, as in Denmark, or “think smart,” as in South Africa, integrating human considerations. Then we will have an array of measures which countries could choose from.

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