from Climate Alert Volume 8, No. 2 March-April 1995

Brazil Harbors and Mangrove Forests Face New Strains

Long-term sea level measurements and topographic and cartographic records for Brazil do not exist, but despite the belief of many Brazilians that the level is dropping, tide gauge records from 1946 to 1988 show the relative sea level rose 5.6 mm per year, although some of this may be related to neotectonic subsidence.

While Brazilians also believe that their 30 million population is concentrated along the coast, actually only 20 percent live in coastal counties, indicating Brazil is less threatened by sea level rise than expected. But many regions and localities are at risk.

A strip of land 33 meters wide, bordering the ocean or estuaries, belongs to the federated government, with private use allowed under specific regulations and payment of taxes. The funds for protecting coastal areas, therefore, usually come from public - municipal, state or federal - sources.

Coastal mangrove forests are under a strain now as they are being developed for resorts, cut for fuel, used as building material or used for landfill. Rapidly rising seas will bring a new threat as they inundate the mangroves. The seas will also threaten the breakwaters and sea walls protecting ports and terminals - important to domestic and international trade - and these facilities will be flooded more frequently.

Recife, a city of two million people and the largest metropolitan region in Northeastern Brazil, was selected as a case study on the possible consequences of sea level rise of one meter. The area has a high population density, 40,000 per square kilometer, and suffers from coastal erosion problems, flooding, and inappropriate drainage. The city is at the mouth of two rivers and is cut by several canals. The entire business area would be directly affected by rising seas; parts of downtown are already flooded by exceptionally high tides or river runoff. Large areas with poor drainage and prone to temporary flooding would suffer worse problems, complicating sanitation, traffic and urban development. Fifty square kilometers of low-lying coastal plains - more than half of it occupied by mangroves - would be totally inundated.Gradual expansion along the margins of estuaries and lagoons toward the mangroves has caused serious problems during the rainy season; favelas have invaded some of the mangroves. There is no control of occupation in low areas, little urban planning, and utilities have been built on unsuitable sites.

Throughout a long history of shoreline erosion- the shoreline has receded up to 25 meters in some places - breakwaters, bulkheads and groins have been built, but these interrupt transport of sediment and lead to further beach erosion. The damming of rivers, dredging of the port and mining of sand has further decreased the sediment budget of beaches. Near shore reefs have provided some protection to beaches, but the reefs might be submerged if sea level rose, allowing larger waves to break on the vulnerable beaches. The most valued beachfront in the city would recede 20 meters under sea level rise. The authors recommend socioeconomic studies to determine the size of the Recife population and its distribution, the growth of the favelas, and the economic values in the risk areas. A crucial question to be answered is which form of protection is the most economical - sea walls or beach nourishment.

(Dr. Dieter Muehe and Dr. Claudio F. Neves, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Brazil)

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