
Treaties and Negotiations
Signed at Rio de Janeiro, Brazil in June
1992 by over 150 nations including the United States of America,
the Rio Climate Treaty came into force in March 1994 and has
been ratified or acceded to by virtually every nation including
all populous countries except Turkey. The Rio Climate Treaty
was the centerpiece of the Rio Earth Summit and was signed by
over a hundred heads of state and government including US President
George Herbert Walker Bush. The Rio Climate Treaty sets an overall
framework for climate protection and identifies as an objective
in Article 2 "stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations
in the atmosphere at a level that would produce dangerous anthropogenic
interference with the climate system."
Despite its very ambitious objectives, the
Rio Climate Treaty does not set any binding emission limitations.
In article 4 concerning Commitments the Framework Convention
calls for developed country parties to adopt national policies
and take measures "with
the aim of returning individually or jointly" their net
greenhouse emissions to 1990 levels. Outside of the former Soviet
Bloc countries whose emissions plummeted with the closing of
noncompetitive industry, Germany which experienced a windfall
from that trend in what had been East Germany, and the UK which
substituted natural gas for coal, nearly all industrial countries
failed to meet this non-binding commitment. By the mid-1990s
it had become clear that the essentially voluntary measures of
the Rio Treaty were not arresting an upward emissions trend in
most of the industrialized world and this caused parties to the
Rio Climate Treaty to look toward an emissions protocol with
binding limitations on developed country parties. After
two-and-a-half years of negotiations such a protocol was agreed
to in December 1997 in Kyoto, Japan.
Kyoto Protocol
Even before the protocol was negotiated in final text in Kyoto,
opponents in the US Senate sealed its doom with a 95-0 resolution
expressing the sense of the Senate that the US should not sign
an agreement which would either threaten the economic health
of the US or which would impose binding requirements on the US
without also imposing binding requirements on developing countries.
Arguably the first requirement might be met, but there was no
way that the Kyoto Protocol could meet the second requirement.
In the Berlin Mandate of April 1995 that set up the terms of
the protocol negotiations, developing countries had been guaranteed
that they would be exempt from binding limitations in any upcoming
protocol. This was adopted due to equity considerations - the
fact that per capita emissions are generally much higher in the
industrial countries e.g. one American produces about the same
greenhouse emissions each year as 60 Bangladeshi, 20 Indians
or 8 Chinese. Yet opponents of the draft protocol seized on the
non-inclusion of developing countries in the first Kyoto round
to get the US Senate unanimously on record against the soon to
be finalized protocol.
The Kyoto Protocol ultimately set requirements for developed
countries which, if agreed to and successfully implemented, would
produce an overall reduction of just over 5% below developed country
1990 emissions by the 2008-2012 time frame that was set in the
protocol as the first commitment period. The
"Guide to the Climate Change Negotiating Process"
shows the country variations with requirements of 1990 emissions
allowable.
To come into force the protocol required ratification or accession
to it by 55 nations and ratification or accession to it by developed
countries whose aggregate 1990 greenhouse emissions amounted
to 55% of total developed country 1990 greenhouse emissions.
See the CAN-Europe site link on our Resources
and Links page.
The first requirement of ratification or approval by 55 countries
was readily achieved. The real hurdle for the protocol to come
into force, given the opposition of the US Senate and the Bush
Administration, was the 55% of developed country 1990 emissions
threshold. Under the Howard Government, Australia was adamantly
opposed to Kyoto. This meant that the failure of either
Japan or Russia to ratify or approve the Protocol would have
prevented it from coming into force. Despite some concerns
in Japan about the country’s ability to meet Kyoto obligations,
Japan ultimately ratified the Protocol in part because it was
the most significant environmental agreement ever negotiated
on Japanese soil. This ultimately left the fate of the Kyoto
Protocol up to Russia. In mid-2004 the Putin Government was
sending conflicting signals on its intentions. Ultimately European
agreement to facilitate Russia’s entry into the World Trade
Organization tipped Russia to ratify Kyoto. As a result the Kyoto
Protocol went into force on February 16, 2005.
Now that the Kyoto Protocol has met the 55% threshold and come
into force, it will in its initial stage have only a marginal
impact on global emissions trends. It has been estimated that
stabilization of greenhouse concentrations will ultimately require
a reduction of global greenhouse emissions roughly 60% below
1990 levels. In the absence of any international controls it
is estimated that global emissions would have risen about 40%
by 2012. With Kyoto implemented by all developed countries, it
is anticipated that global emissions might rise by 30% over the
same period. With the US and Australia on the sidelines
and no real compliance mechanism even for those who have ratified,
Kyoto may produce even more modest results.
G-8 Renewable Energy Initiative
In July 2000 at their Okinawa Summit the G-8, at the urging
of British Prime Minister Tony Blair, agreed to create a Renewable
Energy Task Force to address the challenge of two billion people
lacking access to electricity. The Task Force drafted a Report that
calls for G-8 member countries to support renewable energy actions
in developing countries and to complement this with efforts in
their domestic markets to scale up use of renewable energy.
Small Island States Clean Energy Initiative
In October 1998 the Climate Institute and Counterpart International
organized a Symposium
on Sustainable Energy Options for Small Island States.
Present were the Foreign Minister of Jamaica, the UNDP administrator
and senior staff, several USAID representatives and Permanent
representatives from UN missions.
St. Lucia's Effort to Become World's First Non-Carbon Fuel
Based Nation
An immediate outgrowth of this was the decision of the Caribbean
nation of St. Lucia to become the world's first Sustainable Energy
Demonstration Country. This was announced by the Government of
St. Lucia at a press conference held jointly with the Climate
Institute in November 1999 at the Bonn climate conference. Before
making this announcement St. Lucia began steps to remove tariffs
on renewable energy technologies and support equipment. In November
2000 St. Lucia's Prime
Minister Dr. Kenny Anthony called on other countries
at the Hague climate conference to follow St. Lucia's lead. In
July 2001 the St. Lucia government approved a 10-year Sustainable
Energy Plan.
Global Sustainable Energy Islands Initiative
Seeking to expand the Sustainable Energy Demonstration Country
concept to other island nations, the Climate Institute and four
partners — Counterpart International, Winrock International,
Forum for Energy and Development and the Organization of American
States — formed a consortium to
support the interest of all small island states and potential
donors by bringing renewable energy and energy efficiency projects,
models, and concepts together in a sustainable plan for small
island nations.
This effort was the focus of the principal Earth
Day event at the UN in April 2001. The first two
island states to join St. Lucia in an effort to de-carbonize
their energy systems were Grenada and Dominica, both in the Caribbean.
The Marshall Islands in the Pacific and St. Kitts & Nevis
in the Caribbean have indicated willingness to join the Global
Sustainable Energy Islands Initiative.
Iceland's Effort to Become First Hydrogen Based National Economy
Iceland, whose per capita greenhouse emissions are among the
highest in the world, is now moving aggressively to become the world's
first hydrogen-based economy. This country of about
270,000 has embraced a vision first put forth in the 1970s by
Bragi Arnason, a professor at the University of Iceland. To reach
its goal of becoming the world's first hydrogen-based national
economy, Iceland seeks to leverage its access to plentiful inexpensive
hydro and geothermal power to speed commercialization of fuel
cells for transport and power generation.
United
Nations Climate Change Conference, held November-December
2005. Commentary in Living
City, (PDF) page 6.
